The article is prepared according to a unified methodology, based on the model AGMEMOD of the EU-27 countries. With the help of this model, the influence of the situation in macroeconomics, policy and other factors (prices and productivity) on the production and consumption of the main agricultural and food products is estimated. Four agricultural policy scenarios and their influence on the plant (cereals, rapeseed and potatoes) and animal sectors (beef and veal, pork, sheep meat and poultry) are presented. Prognoses of the aggregate balance of the mentioned products are presented for the year 2020. In conclusion, the results of four agricultural policy scenarios and future research questions related to the current time period are introduced.

Keywords: agricultural products, agricultural procurement prices, “Health Check” reforms, GDP, exchange rate, inflation